tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5594178071784212079.post8929930337650485851..comments2023-06-12T09:43:25.286-04:00Comments on The Arms Control Otaku 『軍備管理のオタク』: What nonproliferation means to themRobot Economisthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15462962401593301110noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5594178071784212079.post-53715401049295675992007-03-22T10:43:00.000-04:002007-03-22T10:43:00.000-04:00Your post also makes sense given the administratio...Your post also makes sense given the administration's spacewar policy.aelkushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02250169760199903577noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5594178071784212079.post-83713148854753361672007-03-22T08:38:00.000-04:002007-03-22T08:38:00.000-04:00I think we can make that assumption. Like I've sa...I think we can make that assumption. Like I've said before, all you have to do is look at the tone of Bush's speeches regarding the "nexus" of WMD and terrorism to see how pessimistic the White House is about proliferation.<BR/><BR/>Frankly, I think the onyl way you can resolve the contradictions between Bush administration rhetoric on "Combating WMD" with the RRW, the Bush-Singh agreement, the Moscow Treaty and footdragging on START CVID renewal. The langauage from the still-classified 2002 <A HREF="http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/library/policy/dod/npr.htm" REL="nofollow">Nuclear Posture Review</A> really laid the basis of Bush administration policy.<BR/><BR/>It really has nothing to do with rationality. They are pursuing a rational policy in the context of their views of proliferation. The problem is that their views may not really match up with the <EM>realities</EM> of proliferation and proliferation norms.Robot Economisthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15462962401593301110noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5594178071784212079.post-66303034591639841042007-03-21T23:31:00.000-04:002007-03-21T23:31:00.000-04:00This is interesting. But the problem is that it as...This is interesting. But the problem is that it assumes that DoD and State are headed by rational actors who have rationally assumed that the current arms control frameworks are doomed to failure. Without getting into armchair psychology here, the question I have is, given the record of this administration, can we make that assumption?aelkushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02250169760199903577noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5594178071784212079.post-14523824150739032122007-03-18T13:05:00.000-04:002007-03-18T13:05:00.000-04:00Jofi - I appreciate you taking the time to read my...Jofi - I appreciate you taking the time to read my post, I imagine Sen. Casey keeps your pretty busy.<BR/><BR/>I corrected the confusion between <EM>DJ</EM> and NED's <EM>DoJ</EM> - I only have about 2-3 hours a week to photoshop and write on my blog, so quality control sometimes takes a back seat to content. I apologize for the slip-up.<BR/><BR/>Potter's <A HREF="http://cns.miis.edu/pubs/npr/vol12/122/122potter.pdf" REL="nofollow">piece</A> on the U.S.-India nuclear deal from the July 2005 <EM>Nonproliferation Rewview</EM> is a solid summary of the new "Bush consensus" on nonproliferation. An even better primary source example of this mindset is Ashley Tellis's May 2006 <A HREF="http://www.carnegieendowment.org/files/ashleyjtellishirctestimony.pdf" REL="nofollow">testimony</A> before the House Committee on International Relations. Just read the second and third paragraphs of the testimony and you will see the basis for our common perspective (and concern).<BR/><BR/>I'm worried that the Bush administration may be fulfilling Sharam Chubin's old prediction that nonproliferation will fall apart by taking on a "powerful country vs. weak country" image.Robot Economisthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15462962401593301110noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5594178071784212079.post-7382234079503536842007-03-18T12:18:00.000-04:002007-03-18T12:18:00.000-04:00Thanks for the post on my article. One clarificat...Thanks for the post on my article. One clarification: Democracy: A Journal of Ideas was started only last year by two former Clinton Administration officials seeking to give a voice to progressive ideas across the policy spectrum, from arms control to housing policy. It is not in any way affiliated with the National Endowment for Democracy, although I understand the NED runs a similiar titled journal.<BR/><BR/>On a substantive point, I agree with your thesis. I often have thought the NRA's old slogan, "Guns don't kill people, people kill people" captures this Administration's perspective on proliferation, with WMD replacing guns. In other words, it is OK to carve out an exception for India from the nuclear nonproliferation regime because India is a good guy and we don't have to worry about their nukes. START can expire because we don't worry about Russian nukes any longer. But Iran cannot have a civilian enrichment capacity because we don't trust them.<BR/><BR/>The flaws of this perspective deserve another journal article in of itself, but it is the approach these guys have taken. Bill Potter from Monterrey has done some writing on this subject.<BR/><BR/>Jofi JosephAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5594178071784212079.post-7860910051547077952007-03-16T16:50:00.000-04:002007-03-16T16:50:00.000-04:00Stephen - I appreciate the comment, this blog is r...Stephen - I appreciate the comment, this blog is really a labor of love for me.<BR/><BR/>Between work and grad school, I often found myself without a convenient place to jot down the ideas. Blogging is really a great tool for 'brains on the go,' as it were.Robot Economisthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15462962401593301110noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5594178071784212079.post-82087963991341129692007-03-16T16:08:00.000-04:002007-03-16T16:08:00.000-04:00This is Stephen Trimble, of the The DEW Line. Than...This is Stephen Trimble, of the The DEW Line. Thanks for the link. I'll return the favor as soon as I can. The blogging business is still a little new to me. Reading your site is one of the reasons why I started a blog in the first place.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com